Dumbarton vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.5%
18%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1947 |
STE
2 - 1
DUM
51%
21%
27%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1947 |
STJ
1 - 0
DUM
78%
13%
10%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1947 |
ARB
1 - 3
DUM
64%
18%
18%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1947 |
DUM
5 - 5
STE
75%
14%
11%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1946 |
CWB
2 - 3
DUM
61%
19%
20%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1947 |
ARB
1 - 2
STJ
39%
22%
39%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1947 |
STE
2 - 0
ARB
47%
22%
32%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 1947 |
ARB
1 - 3
DUM
64%
18%
18%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 1947 |
STJ
5 - 1
ARB
75%
14%
11%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1946 |
DUN
2 - 1
ARB
45%
22%
33%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |