Dumbarton vs Alloa Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
DUM
0 - 0
FOR
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
PAR
2 - 1
DUM
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
DUM
2 - 3
PET
32%
27%
41%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2006 |
GRE
3 - 0
DUM
83%
12%
5%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
DUM
0 - 1
RAI
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
ALL
0 - 0
GRE
31%
26%
43%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
FOR
3 - 0
ALL
66%
20%
15%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2006 |
ALL
2 - 1
PAR
33%
26%
42%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
ALL
1 - 1
RAI
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
AYR
0 - 1
ALL
66%
21%
14%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |