Dumbarton vs Alloa Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1998 |
DUM
2 - 3
CWB
61%
22%
17%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
MON
2 - 1
DUM
57%
23%
21%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
DUM
0 - 2
BER
57%
23%
21%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
DUM
2 - 0
ALB
47%
24%
28%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 1998 |
ALL
3 - 0
DUM
72%
18%
10%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1998 |
ALL
1 - 0
BER
69%
18%
12%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
CWB
1 - 3
ALL
30%
28%
42%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
ALL
5 - 2
THE
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
MON
0 - 3
ALL
36%
27%
38%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1998 |
ALL
3 - 0
DUM
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |