Dumbarton vs Alloa Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
BER
5 - 3
DUM
51%
25%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
DUM
2 - 2
MON
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
DUM
1 - 5
ABE
18%
22%
60%
|
46 | 74 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1997 |
CWB
0 - 2
DUM
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 1997 |
DUM
1 - 1
QUE
70%
18%
13%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
THE
2 - 1
ALL
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
ALL
1 - 0
CWB
72%
18%
10%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
HIB
3 - 1
ALL
77%
16%
7%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 1997 |
BER
0 - 2
ALL
48%
27%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 1997 |
CWB
0 - 2
ALL
54%
25%
22%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |