Dumbarton vs Albion Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
1º
2º
2º
36
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
66% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
58.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
STI
6 - 0
DUM
43%
25%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 0
DUM
32%
24%
45%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
STR
3 - 2
DUM
25%
23%
51%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
DUM
1 - 0
BRA
33%
26%
41%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
EAS
0 - 1
DUM
29%
24%
48%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Albion Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
ELG
1 - 0
ALB
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ALB
2 - 1
BRA
21%
23%
56%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
STR
2 - 1
ALB
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ALB
0 - 2
FOR
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
STI
1 - 1
ALB
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |