Dumbarton vs Abercorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
13.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1892 |
DUM
0 - 3
CEL
41%
23%
37%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1892 |
HOM
1 - 3
DUM
59%
20%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1892 |
STM
3 - 2
DUM
31%
23%
46%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1892 |
DUM
1 - 2
TLA
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1892 |
DUM
2 - 1
LEI
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Abercorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1892 |
ABE
1 - 2
REN
35%
24%
41%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1892 |
TLA
8 - 0
ABE
64%
19%
17%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1892 |
ABE
1 - 0
LEI
43%
24%
34%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1892 |
STM
4 - 0
ABE
61%
19%
20%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1892 |
CEL
3 - 2
ABE
66%
19%
15%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |