Duluth vs Sioux Falls Thunder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.2%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15%
3-0
12%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.2%
3.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duluth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
DUL
1 - 1
MEC
52%
21%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
DAK
3 - 1
DUL
9%
14%
77%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | -2 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
MEC
1 - 2
DUL
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
SFT
2 - 3
DUL
8%
14%
78%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
DUL
3 - 0
JOY
83%
11%
7%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sioux Falls Thunder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
SFT
3 - 0
MIN
23%
20%
57%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
JOY
1 - 1
SFT
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
ARI
2 - 1
SFT
7%
13%
80%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
MIN
1 - 2
SFT
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
SFT
2 - 3
DUL
8%
14%
78%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | -1 |