Duluth vs Aris analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91.2%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.9%
5-0
8.3%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.6%
4-0
12.1%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.2%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
6.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.6%
2.2%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duluth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2019 |
DUL
2 - 4
MIN
35%
22%
43%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2019 |
ARI
0 - 3
DUL
5%
12%
83%
|
37 | 10 | 27 | -3 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
MEC
3 - 1
DUL
53%
21%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2019 |
MIN
0 - 3
DUL
23%
20%
57%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
DUL
7 - 0
DAK
83%
11%
6%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Aris
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2019 |
ARI
1 - 2
SFT
25%
21%
54%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
DAK
0 - 1
ARI
86%
9%
4%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +2 |
| 01 Jul. 2019 |
ARI
0 - 3
DUL
5%
12%
83%
|
10 | 37 | 27 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
ARI
1 - 2
MIN
7%
13%
80%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
ARI
0 - 4
MIN
6%
13%
82%
|
11 | 42 | 31 | 0 |