Duluth vs Aris analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
93%
Win probability
3.51
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.2%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.2%
6-0
5.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.6%
5-0
9.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
+5
11.5%
4-0
13.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
17%
3-0
15.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
5.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
5.5%
1.4%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.2%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duluth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
VSL
0 - 1
DUL
42%
22%
36%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
DUL
1 - 0
DAK
85%
10%
5%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2018 |
DUL
0 - 1
VSL
64%
18%
18%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
SFT
1 - 2
DUL
7%
13%
79%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
DUL
1 - 1
MIN
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aris
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
DAK
5 - 0
ARI
93%
5%
1%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
ARI
0 - 1
VSL
4%
11%
85%
|
7 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2018 |
MIN
5 - 1
ARI
94%
5%
1%
|
7 | 43 | 36 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
ARI
3 - 6
MIN
4%
10%
86%
|
8 | 31 | 23 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
VSL
5 - 0
ARI
93%
6%
2%
|
9 | 36 | 27 | -1 |