Due Torri vs Roccella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
58.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Due Torri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
GRA
3 - 0
DTO
80%
13%
7%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
DTO
0 - 3
USC
35%
24%
40%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
DTO
0 - 3
POM
19%
26%
55%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
GEL
3 - 0
DTO
84%
11%
5%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
DTO
0 - 3
TUR
19%
25%
56%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ROC
1 - 3
TUR
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SIC
3 - 1
ROC
74%
17%
9%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ROC
2 - 2
RAA
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
ROC
44%
23%
33%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ROC
1 - 2
PAL
42%
23%
35%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |