Due Torri vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
28.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Due Torri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
REN
1 - 1
DTO
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
DTO
1 - 0
VIG
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAV
3 - 1
DTO
74%
16%
9%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
DTO
2 - 0
LEO
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 1
DTO
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
NOT
0 - 1
MAR
50%
24%
27%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
REG
23%
22%
56%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
AGR
1 - 0
MAR
59%
21%
20%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
PAL
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SCO
1 - 3
MAR
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |