Dudingen vs Fribourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
9.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
4º
16º
13º
8
14º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
84.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 44 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 40 |
11º
|
82% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 36 |
12º
|
91% | |
|
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
13º
|
80% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
14º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
8 | 20 |
15º
|
53% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 14 |
16º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
15% | 90% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dudingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
DUD
7 - 3
TPA
69%
17%
14%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
TAV
0 - 2
DUD
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
DUD
0 - 6
LAU
34%
22%
45%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -3 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
DUD
7 - 3
FCS
79%
13%
9%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
ROM
1 - 2
DUD
22%
20%
57%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Fribourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FRI
1 - 4
TAV
46%
23%
31%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LAU
4 - 0
FRI
81%
12%
7%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FRI
1 - 3
FCS
52%
20%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
STA
2 - 5
FRI
43%
24%
34%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
FRI
1 - 1
FCC
52%
20%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |