DUC vs Dahra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
20.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DUC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
ASS
0 - 0
DUC
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
DUC
0 - 1
OUA
47%
28%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
DUC
1 - 2
JAR
47%
28%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
NIA
0 - 1
DUC
51%
27%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
JED
0 - 3
DUC
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Dahra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
DAD
0 - 0
YAR
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
ASS
0 - 2
DAD
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
DAD
0 - 1
GUE
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
OUA
0 - 1
DAD
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
DAD
2 - 0
CAS
32%
28%
40%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |