Fortuna 05 vs Rohrbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
55.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-91%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2003 |
OBE
1 - 1
FOR
79%
14%
7%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
FOR
2 - 1
EIS
20%
25%
56%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | +3 |
| 08 Aug. 2003 |
KRE
2 - 2
FOR
85%
11%
5%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Rohrbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2003 |
SVR
1 - 0
AUS
49%
25%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2003 |
SVR
0 - 0
KOT
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2003 |
OBE
1 - 1
SVR
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2003 |
SVR
2 - 1
AUS
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2003 |
SVR
1 - 4
VIE
40%
24%
36%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |