Fortuna 05 vs SKN St. Polten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
58.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
WIE
3 - 0
FOR
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
FOR
3 - 2
SCF
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
FOR
2 - 4
KOT
30%
26%
44%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2003 |
AUS
4 - 1
FOR
66%
20%
14%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
FOR
3 - 1
SVR
22%
23%
55%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +5 |
Matches
SKN St. Polten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
SKN
0 - 1
AUS
71%
17%
12%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2003 |
SVR
2 - 1
SKN
28%
25%
47%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2003 |
SKN
3 - 2
OBE
75%
16%
10%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2003 |
EIS
0 - 1
SKN
31%
25%
44%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2003 |
SKN
7 - 1
KRE
62%
20%
18%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |