Fortuna 05 vs Neuberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
35.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
VIE
3 - 2
FOR
80%
14%
7%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
FOR
0 - 3
SKN
19%
23%
58%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
WIE
3 - 0
FOR
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
FOR
3 - 2
SCF
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
FOR
2 - 4
KOT
30%
26%
44%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Neuberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2003 |
SVR
3 - 1
NEU
63%
20%
16%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
NEU
0 - 4
OBE
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2003 |
EIS
3 - 0
NEU
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
NEU
2 - 4
KRE
39%
24%
38%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2003 |
FCW
3 - 1
NEU
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |