Fortuna 05 vs NAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
48.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SCW
2 - 1
FOR
80%
13%
7%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 0
DON
44%
22%
34%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
GER
2 - 3
FOR
55%
22%
23%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 1
FAV
70%
16%
13%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
AUS
1 - 2
FOR
59%
21%
21%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
NAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
NAC
3 - 0
FIR
80%
13%
7%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
SCW
2 - 2
NAC
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 0
DON
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
DON
2 - 2
NAC
22%
23%
55%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
NAC
5 - 0
SCF
63%
19%
18%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |