Drwęca Nowe Miasto L vs Ursus Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drwęca Nowe Miasto L
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2018 |
HUR
0 - 1
DNM
54%
23%
24%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2018 |
DNM
0 - 2
OLI
47%
23%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
LWA
0 - 1
DNM
45%
23%
33%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
DNM
0 - 0
MKS
59%
20%
21%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
WLO
3 - 0
DNM
71%
18%
11%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2018 |
UWA
1 - 3
29%
26%
45%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2018 |
UWA
1 - 3
HUR
43%
26%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
OLI
1 - 3
UWA
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
UWA
3 - 1
LWA
47%
24%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
MKS
2 - 0
UWA
38%
24%
38%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |