Drogheda United vs Bohemian FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
5º
4º
42
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 67 |
1º
|
79.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 57 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 56 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
38 | 55 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 50 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 47 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 44 |
8º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 41 |
9º
|
45.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
10º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
2% | 11.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
45% | 59.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
53% | 29% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drogheda United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2025 |
SHE
0 - 0
DRO
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
DRO
1 - 1
DER
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
SHR
3 - 0
DRO
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2025 |
DRO
3 - 2
CAO
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
SLR
2 - 2
DRO
38%
27%
36%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bohemian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2025 |
BOH
1 - 0
SHE
49%
27%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
SLR
0 - 1
BOH
40%
27%
34%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2025 |
GAL
1 - 2
BOH
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
BOH
1 - 2
WAT
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
BOH
2 - 1
STP
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |