DRL vs IFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
69.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DRL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
VEL
3 - 3
DRL
68%
17%
15%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ZWE
4 - 2
DRL
52%
21%
27%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
DRL
1 - 2
TAC
65%
19%
17%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FCB
1 - 0
DRL
79%
12%
9%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
DRL
2 - 3
VOC
31%
22%
48%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
IFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
IFC
4 - 2
GDA
89%
8%
4%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
OLY
0 - 3
IFC
11%
16%
73%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
IFC
1 - 3
SJC
68%
17%
15%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PFC
1 - 3
IFC
8%
14%
78%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
IFC
6 - 1
TAC
88%
8%
4%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |