Dresden-Nord vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
63.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dresden-Nord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
MEU
0 - 4
DRE
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
DRE
1 - 1
SVD
16%
23%
61%
|
38 | 66 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
EIL
2 - 1
DRE
30%
24%
46%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
DRE
2 - 2
SVG
61%
23%
16%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
MAG
2 - 1
DRE
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
CZJ
5 - 0
ERF
83%
12%
5%
|
56 | 28 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
DRE
0 - 5
CZJ
13%
18%
69%
|
56 | 29 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
SAC
1 - 0
CZJ
25%
26%
49%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2005 |
CZJ
3 - 0
POS
84%
11%
5%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
CZJ
6 - 0
SON
81%
13%
6%
|
56 | 27 | 29 | 0 |