Dreams Reserve vs Citizen AA Reserve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dreams Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
ESA
1 - 3
DRE
20%
23%
57%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
DRE
5 - 2
HVR
58%
22%
21%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
DRE
3 - 1
SOU
74%
16%
9%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
TMR
0 - 10
DRE
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
KIT
0 - 5
DRE
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Citizen AA Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
RRE
1 - 1
CAR
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
KIT
1 - 2
CAR
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 2
TMR
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
YLO
0 - 7
CAR
19%
21%
60%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
SOU
73%
16%
11%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |