Union Sportive Fougères vs Guingamp II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
52.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
5º
13º
6º
49
1º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 43 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
89% | |
|
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 34 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 94% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Sportive Fougères
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
CES
1 - 1
USF
42%
22%
35%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
USF
1 - 0
AFV
17%
21%
62%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +3 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
PON
1 - 2
USF
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
USF
3 - 2
VAN
28%
23%
50%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
USF
1 - 0
FLE
45%
22%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Guingamp II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
GUI
2 - 1
PLA
77%
16%
8%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ERG
1 - 3
GUI
26%
25%
50%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
GUI
0 - 1
LOR
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
SAI
2 - 3
GUI
17%
22%
61%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
GUI
1 - 1
LAN
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |