Drancy vs Lens II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
AAC
1 - 2
DRA
48%
27%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
DRA
2 - 0
LIL
38%
28%
34%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
DRA
1 - 0
COM
48%
27%
26%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
IVR
0 - 0
DRA
61%
23%
17%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 0
DRA
58%
24%
18%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
LEN
0 - 2
COM
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
LEN
0 - 1
DUN
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
VAL
0 - 3
LEN
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
IVR
1 - 0
LEN
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
LEN
1 - 4
ROY
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -2 |