Dragon vs Manu Ura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
37.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dragon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
DRA
0 - 1
AOR
72%
15%
13%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
DRA
0 - 2
44%
21%
35%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
DRA
3 - 6
51%
21%
28%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
DRA
2 - 6
PIR
29%
21%
51%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
MAN
3 - 1
DRA
41%
23%
37%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Manu Ura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PIR
4 - 3
MAN
61%
18%
21%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
RON
1 - 3
MAN
39%
22%
39%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
MAN
4 - 1
RON
53%
22%
26%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 4
TEF
24%
21%
56%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
MAN
3 - 1
DRA
41%
23%
37%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |