Dragon vs Avranches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
69%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dragon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
DRA
4 - 1
PUN
74%
13%
12%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
VEN
1 - 0
DRA
50%
19%
31%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
DRA
0 - 2
TEF
52%
19%
29%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
DRA
2 - 4
VEN
52%
19%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
TEF
1 - 1
DRA
48%
19%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
AVR
2 - 1
VOL
62%
21%
16%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
AVR
3 - 2
SAU
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
VHO
1 - 2
AVR
12%
16%
72%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
GIR
1 - 0
AVR
73%
18%
9%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
TEM
1 - 3
AVR
6%
12%
82%
|
55 | 9 | 46 | 0 |