Dragon vs AS Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
23.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dragon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
DRA
8 - 0
VAI
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
DRA
2 - 3
PIR
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
DRA
1 - 2
TEF
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
DRA
4 - 2
TAM
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
DRA
4 - 1
VEN
53%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AS Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
ASE
1 - 1
VEN
47%
23%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
TEF
6 - 0
ASE
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ASE
2 - 1
TAM
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 1
ASE
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
OLY
0 - 5
ASE
20%
21%
59%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |