Doze vs São Mateus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
63.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Doze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
CAP
0 - 4
DOZ
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 0
DOZ
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
DOZ
0 - 1
DES
13%
19%
69%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
EST
0 - 0
DOZ
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
DOZ
1 - 0
ESP
22%
22%
57%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
São Mateus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
4 - 0
EST
52%
25%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 0
SAO
54%
25%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 0
LIN
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
CAP
1 - 0
SAO
17%
22%
61%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 1
REA
33%
25%
43%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |