Capixaba Final Stages Final
Global 3-4
Doze vs Itapemirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
53.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Doze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
DOZ
0 - 0
ESP
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
ESP
0 - 0
DOZ
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 3
DOZ
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
DOZ
0 - 0
ESP
36%
25%
40%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
DOZ
2 - 1
LIN
31%
24%
45%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Itapemirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 1
ECT
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
ECT
0 - 2
ITA
12%
19%
69%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ITA
3 - 1
REA
33%
25%
42%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 1
ITA
31%
24%
45%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 2
ITA
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |