Doze vs Itapemirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
62.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Doze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
DES
3 - 0
DOZ
80%
14%
6%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
DOZ
0 - 2
EST
18%
21%
61%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
ESP
3 - 0
DOZ
68%
18%
15%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Itapemirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
DES
40%
24%
36%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
EST
0 - 2
ITA
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
DES
1 - 1
ITA
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 0
ITA
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 3
REA
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -2 |