Doze vs Estrela do Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
55.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Doze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
DOZ
2 - 3
SAO
15%
21%
64%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
CAP
0 - 4
DOZ
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 0
DOZ
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
DOZ
0 - 1
DES
13%
19%
69%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
EST
0 - 0
DOZ
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Estrela do Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
EST
2 - 0
CAP
64%
20%
17%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
4 - 0
EST
52%
25%
24%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
EST
1 - 2
DES
34%
25%
42%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ESP
2 - 0
EST
28%
25%
48%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
EST
0 - 0
DOZ
73%
16%
11%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | 0 |