Doze vs Capixaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
43.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Doze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 1
DOZ
73%
17%
9%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
EST
0 - 1
DOZ
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
DOZ
2 - 1
EST
21%
23%
56%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +3 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
DOZ
2 - 3
SAO
15%
21%
64%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
CAP
0 - 4
DOZ
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Capixaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
CAP
3 - 2
EST
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CAP
2 - 1
SAO
18%
22%
60%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | +4 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
4 - 3
CAP
72%
18%
10%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
EST
2 - 0
CAP
64%
20%
17%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
CAP
0 - 4
DOZ
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |