Doxa Katokopias vs AEK Larnaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
58.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
9º
14º
14º
52
3º
11º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Doxa Katokopias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
ARI
2 - 1
DOX
79%
15%
6%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
DOX
0 - 1
AEL
30%
30%
41%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
PAF
2 - 1
DOX
74%
16%
9%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
AEL
1 - 1
DOX
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
DOX
0 - 1
NEA
31%
28%
41%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
AEK
5 - 5
ETH
59%
24%
18%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
ARI
2 - 0
AEK
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
MTA
1 - 0
AEK
58%
23%
20%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
AEK
1 - 1
MTA
25%
25%
50%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
AEK
1 - 1
TOR
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |