DOVO vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.3%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
3%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.1%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
78.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
16.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.3%
0-3
12.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
16.3%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DOVO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
DOV
0 - 1
HUI
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
SWI
1 - 0
DOV
45%
24%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
DOV
5 - 1
BEN
53%
24%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
VVD
1 - 4
DOV
10%
16%
74%
|
39 | 9 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
ACH
0 - 3
DOV
42%
24%
34%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
WIL
3 - 1
UTR
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
FEY
1 - 0
WIL
61%
22%
18%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
WIL
0 - 1
NEC
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
AZA
0 - 0
WIL
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
AJA
3 - 0
WIL
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |