Conil vs Montilla CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Conil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
SEV
2 - 1
CON
63%
21%
17%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
CON
2 - 2
CAB
29%
23%
48%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ASJ
2 - 0
CON
48%
23%
29%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CON
2 - 0
BAR
45%
23%
31%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
SRO
3 - 2
CON
53%
23%
25%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Montilla CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
MON
0 - 2
MAI
20%
27%
53%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
CRD
1 - 1
MON
72%
19%
9%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
MON
4 - 0
ARC
24%
25%
51%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
MON
1 - 2
ALC
16%
24%
60%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SEV
0 - 0
MON
77%
16%
7%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |