Dorostol vs Ludogorets III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
69.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
5º
12º
9º
54
3º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
88.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
88.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
72% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
66.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
81% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 12 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorostol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SEP
5 - 0
DOR
79%
15%
6%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
DOR
2 - 0
CMV
11%
16%
73%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | +4 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
CHE
4 - 1
DOR
87%
11%
3%
|
23 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
DOR
1 - 4
CHE
8%
18%
75%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
LOR
0 - 3
DOR
17%
20%
63%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ludogorets III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LUD
6 - 2
UST
82%
13%
6%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
LOR
2 - 3
LUD
5%
12%
83%
|
46 | 13 | 33 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
LUD
0 - 1
SVE
74%
16%
10%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 4
LUD
10%
16%
74%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
LUD
2 - 4
DUN
27%
23%
50%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |