Dorostol vs Cherno More Varna II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
67.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
5º
16º
9º
53
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 67 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 62 |
3º
|
77.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 57 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 57 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 54 |
6º
|
74% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
97% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
60% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 17 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 17 |
13º
|
38.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 14 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 4 |
16º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorostol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FCF
4 - 1
DOR
6%
12%
83%
|
33 | 9 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
FKR
2 - 1
DOR
54%
20%
26%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
DOR
2 - 0
SGT
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
FSV
2 - 2
DOR
56%
20%
24%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
CMV
1 - 2
DOR
75%
14%
10%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
UST
1 - 2
CMV
11%
15%
73%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
CMV
1 - 1
LOR
81%
12%
7%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
SVE
4 - 3
CMV
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
CMV
2 - 4
CHE
21%
23%
57%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CMV
1 - 0
LUD
40%
25%
36%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |