Dornbreite Lübeck vs Nordmark Satrup analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
67.9%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
3º
16º
16º
41
5º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dornbreite Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
TRT
4 - 0
DOR
81%
11%
8%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
DOR
0 - 9
UNI
8%
13%
79%
|
20 | 47 | 27 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
DOR
1 - 3
LUB
17%
18%
65%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
DOR
1 - 6
HEI
8%
13%
79%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
OLD
0 - 3
DOR
82%
11%
7%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Nordmark Satrup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
NOR
3 - 0
EUT
50%
21%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
KIL
6 - 2
NOR
73%
16%
11%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
NOR
1 - 1
FLE
45%
21%
34%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
HOH
2 - 2
NOR
43%
22%
35%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
NOR
3 - 0
TRT
43%
22%
36%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +2 |