Dornbreite Lübeck vs Eckernförder SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
43.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
-60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
8º
15º
12º
48
5º
16º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dornbreite Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
DOR
4 - 1
VFR
57%
20%
23%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
OLD
1 - 1
DOR
54%
20%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 0
BOR
48%
21%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TOD
4 - 0
DOR
88%
8%
4%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 0
ITK
22%
20%
57%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Eckernförder SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ECK
4 - 0
NOR
40%
22%
38%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ECK
2 - 1
VFR
65%
18%
17%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
OLD
0 - 4
ECK
42%
21%
37%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ECK
3 - 1
BOR
49%
21%
30%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ECK
0 - 3
TOD
10%
14%
77%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |