Dornach vs Thun II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
50.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
8º
16º
16º
39
4º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 52 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dornach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
WOH
3 - 1
DOR
68%
19%
14%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
DOR
2 - 2
FCM
62%
19%
19%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
EMM
1 - 3
DOR
50%
21%
29%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
DOR
2 - 2
CON
40%
22%
38%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
BLA
2 - 0
DOR
62%
19%
19%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
THU
7 - 0
RTK
37%
24%
39%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
SOL
1 - 1
THU
49%
23%
28%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
THU
0 - 0
NEX
61%
19%
20%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
MUN
2 - 2
THU
29%
22%
49%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
THU
3 - 3
LAN
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |