Dornach vs Aarau II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
31.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dornach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
MUT
1 - 0
DOR
30%
24%
46%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
DOR
3 - 2
LIE
77%
15%
9%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
KRU
2 - 1
DOR
16%
20%
64%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
DOR
1 - 1
RSZ
42%
24%
33%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
BIN
0 - 1
DOR
21%
21%
58%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
AAR
4 - 0
BIN
84%
10%
6%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
DAR
4 - 2
AAR
12%
16%
73%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | -3 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
AAR
1 - 1
BER
88%
8%
4%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ALL
2 - 2
AAR
41%
23%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
AAR
1 - 1
BST
91%
6%
3%
|
36 | 13 | 23 | 0 |