Dorking Wanderers vs Pagham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
7.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorking Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
HAS
1 - 0
DOR
17%
20%
63%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
DOR
0 - 0
HAS
79%
14%
8%
|
41 | 14 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
DOR
5 - 0
CAN
80%
13%
7%
|
41 | 9 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
DOR
1 - 4
SHO
78%
14%
8%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
WHY
3 - 1
DOR
62%
21%
17%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +18 |
Matches
Pagham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
PAG
2 - 4
TUN
35%
24%
41%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |