Dorking Wanderers vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
13.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorking Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
KIN
0 - 1
DOR
45%
24%
32%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
DOR
1 - 2
LEW
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
DOR
2 - 0
MAR
37%
24%
39%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
BIS
1 - 1
DOR
44%
23%
33%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
DOR
0 - 4
SUT
22%
23%
55%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
MER
1 - 0
BRI
55%
21%
25%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
COR
1 - 1
MER
57%
22%
22%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
BOG
3 - 1
MER
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
MER
0 - 3
TON
44%
24%
32%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
WHY
3 - 1
MER
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |