Dorking Wanderers vs Kidderminster Harriers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
22.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorking Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 5
OLD
68%
18%
14%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2023 |
EAS
4 - 0
DOR
34%
24%
42%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
DOR
1 - 1
EAS
59%
20%
20%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
YEO
0 - 0
DOR
26%
23%
51%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2022 |
DOR
3 - 2
MAI
65%
18%
17%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
LEA
0 - 0
KID
31%
27%
42%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2023 |
KID
1 - 1
HER
56%
24%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
HER
0 - 1
KID
38%
26%
35%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
FYL
1 - 1
KID
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
KID
0 - 2
CHE
30%
24%
46%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |