Dorense vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
53.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
SOC
1 - 1
DOR
32%
24%
44%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
DOR
2 - 1
ITA
41%
25%
35%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
AMA
0 - 3
DOR
47%
23%
31%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
BOC
2 - 1
DOR
34%
23%
42%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
DOR
3 - 1
LAG
40%
24%
36%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
SER
1 - 2
EST
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 6
SER
22%
26%
53%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CON
1 - 1
SER
60%
23%
18%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SER
1 - 0
SOC
75%
17%
8%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SER
2 - 3
EST
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |