Dorense vs Botafogo ASF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
8.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+140%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
DOR
0 - 0
CON
14%
20%
66%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
AFP
0 - 2
DOR
41%
22%
37%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
DOR
0 - 0
LAG
52%
22%
26%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
SER
5 - 0
DOR
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 0
DOR
55%
24%
21%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo ASF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ABS
1 - 3
BOC
11%
17%
72%
|
10 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
LAG
1 - 2
ABS
74%
16%
10%
|
8 | 33 | 25 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
ABS
1 - 3
EST
9%
15%
75%
|
9 | 35 | 26 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2017 |
CON
3 - 0
ABS
84%
12%
4%
|
9 | 56 | 47 | 0 |