Dorense vs Frei Paulistano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
42.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ITA
1 - 0
DOR
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
DOR
0 - 0
LAG
41%
24%
35%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
DOR
3 - 2
LAG
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
ITA
3 - 2
DOR
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
CON
3 - 2
DOR
72%
17%
12%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
AFP
0 - 1
CON
14%
19%
67%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
BOC
1 - 3
AFP
24%
21%
55%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
AFP
3 - 1
ITA
31%
26%
43%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 2
AFP
53%
23%
23%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
AFP
1 - 0
SER
34%
24%
42%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |