Dorćol vs Balkan Mirijevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
19.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorćol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
HAJ
1 - 0
DOR
42%
25%
33%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
DOR
2 - 1
KOV
35%
25%
40%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
RAD
2 - 0
DOR
64%
21%
15%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
DOR
1 - 2
SRE
43%
27%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
DOR
1 - 1
BAS
18%
25%
57%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Balkan Mirijevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 0
SOP
26%
29%
46%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
PAD
2 - 2
BAL
54%
26%
21%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 0
SIN
24%
27%
50%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SMJ
2 - 0
BAL
74%
17%
10%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 0
ZAR
30%
26%
44%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |