Dongen vs Venray analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
29.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dongen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
SVS
0 - 2
DON
13%
19%
68%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
DON
0 - 2
BAR
65%
20%
16%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
EHC
1 - 6
DON
58%
21%
20%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
DON
4 - 3
GOE
80%
13%
7%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
BLA
0 - 5
DON
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Venray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
VEN
1 - 2
UNA
38%
23%
39%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
UDI
1 - 2
VEN
33%
24%
43%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
VEN
3 - 1
NUE
64%
19%
17%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SVS
1 - 2
VEN
13%
19%
68%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
VEN
3 - 1
BAR
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |