Dongen vs Venray analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
15%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dongen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
OJC
4 - 1
DON
36%
24%
40%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
DON
4 - 0
DES
75%
15%
10%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
DON
1 - 1
BAR
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
NUE
0 - 3
DON
44%
23%
34%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
MEE
4 - 0
DON
29%
23%
48%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -3 |
Matches
Venray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VEN
1 - 1
GRO
45%
21%
34%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
DEV
4 - 0
VEN
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
VEN
2 - 1
DIJ
50%
21%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
OJC
2 - 1
VEN
51%
23%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
DES
5 - 2
VEN
32%
24%
45%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -2 |